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During the annual Atlantic storm season, which runs June 1-November 30, Citizens monitors the weather forecast 24/7 for potential storms or storm effects. For the most up-to-date information, Citizens relies on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and its National Hurricane Center (NHC) for storm advisories and other storm-related information.

The National Hurricane Center’s tropical storm forecasts are developed by several agencies that work collaboratively to issue timely and informative reports. Citizens also uses a geographic information system (GIS) tool that incorporates data from NHC and helps track and forecast projected storm paths and wind and surge information so Citizens can be ready when a storm strikes Florida.

Know what to do if you need to evacuate. Citizens has partnered with the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network (FPREN) to bring you the latest news about catastrophic weather impacting your area. FPREN updates can be heard on your local public radio station and by downloading their free Florida Storms app from iTunes and Google Play.

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NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic

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Storm Tracker

NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic
NHC Atlantic Outlook
Aug 14, 2026 11:07:32 PM

Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


000
ABNT20 KNHC 142307
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Windward Islands (AL92):
A tropical wave near the Windward Islands is producing gusty winds
and a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is
moving into a region of increasing upper-level winds and drier air,
and the potential for tropical cyclone formation has decreased.
Even though development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds to
near gale force and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions
of the Lesser Antilles tonight and on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave over the Central Tropical Atlantic, located more
than 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While environmental
conditions are conducive for some development over the next few
days, the system is expected to encounter strong upper-level winds
next week, decreasing its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Mahoney