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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erin, located several hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands.

1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98):
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the disturbance located
over the western Gulf continues to lack a closed low-level
circulation. However, shower activity has increased some over the
past few hours and the system could become a short-lived tropical
depression before it moves inland over northeastern Mexico or
southern Texas this afternoon or evening. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next couple of
days, and interests there should monitor the progress of this
system. Another Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the system later this morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi