953
ABNT20 KNHC 132319
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have continued to
become less organized. This system is moving into a region of
increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and the possibility of
development appears to be decreasing. Regardless of development,
interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the
progress of this system since gusty winds and areas of heavy rain
are possible across these islands Friday night and Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for
gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late this
week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Pasch