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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to increase near and just east of
a small area of low pressure located more than 900 miles west of the
Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, recent satellite wind data
indicates the system is also producing tropical-storm force winds,
primarily to the east of its center. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become more favorable for further development over the
next couple of days and a tropical storm is likely to form by the
early to middle portion of this week as the system moves
west-northwest to northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the central
tropical Atlantic. For more information on this system, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Papin