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During the annual Atlantic storm season, which runs June 1-November 30, Citizens monitors the weather forecast 24/7 for potential storms or storm effects. For the most up-to-date information, Citizens relies on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and its National Hurricane Center (NHC) for storm advisories and other storm-related information.

The National Hurricane Center’s tropical storm forecasts are developed by several agencies that work collaboratively to issue timely and informative reports. Citizens also uses a geographic information system (GIS) tool that incorporates data from NHC and helps track and forecast projected storm paths and wind and surge information so Citizens can be ready when a storm strikes Florida.

Know what to do if you need to evacuate. Citizens has partnered with the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network (FPREN) to bring you the latest news about catastrophic weather impacting your area. FPREN updates can be heard on your local public radio station and by downloading their free Florida Storms app from iTunes and Google Play.

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NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic

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Storm Tracker

NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic
NHC Atlantic Outlook
Oct 20, 2025 5:35:31 AM

Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 20 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Caribbean Sea (AL98):
A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea, a few
hundred miles west of the Windward Islands, is producing a large
area of poorly organized showers and thunderstorms. Recent
satellite-derived wind data indicate that the disturbance continues
to lack a closed circulation, although it is producing winds of 30
to 40 mph to the north and east of the wave axis. The system is
moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 mph, which should limit
significant development during the next day or so. Thereafter,
environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development as the wave slows down over the central Caribbean Sea,
and a tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to
latter part of this week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
and gusty winds are expected to continue affecting portions of the
Windward and Leeward Islands this morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema