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During the annual Atlantic storm season, which runs June 1-November 30, Citizens monitors the weather forecast 24/7 for potential storms or storm effects. For the most up-to-date information, Citizens relies on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and its National Hurricane Center (NHC) for storm advisories and other storm-related information.

The National Hurricane Center’s tropical storm forecasts are developed by several agencies that work collaboratively to issue timely and informative reports. Citizens also uses a geographic information system (GIS) tool that incorporates data from NHC and helps track and forecast projected storm paths and wind and surge information so Citizens can be ready when a storm strikes Florida.

Know what to do if you need to evacuate. Citizens has partnered with the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network (FPREN) to bring you the latest news about catastrophic weather impacting your area. FPREN updates can be heard on your local public radio station and by downloading their free Florida Storms app from iTunes and Google Play.

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NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic

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Storm Tracker

NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic
NHC Atlantic Outlook
Aug 21, 2026 11:19:55 AM

Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


000
ABNT20 KNHC 211119
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure has developed over the
northeastern Atlantic several hundred miles north-northeast of the
Azores. This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical
characteristics on Saturday or early Sunday while it moves
east-southeastward at 10 to 15 mph toward Portugal and northwestern
Spain. The opportunity of tropical or subtropical development should
end by Sunday night when the system moves into unfavorable
environmental conditions. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A weak area of low pressure located over the central subtropical
Atlantic a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda is producing
an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of
this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur while it drifts
west-southwestward through Sunday and then turns northward early
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at
https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi