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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Western Atlantic:
A large area of disorganized shower activity off the coast of North
Carolina and the Mid-Atlantic States are associated with a
non-tropical low pressure system. This system is expected to
merge with a front and move over cool waters this weekend, and
tropical or subtropical development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Central Atlantic (AL96):
Shower activity has increased a little in association with a
tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. Development of
this system appears unlikely during the next day or two due to
surrounding dry air, but environmental conditions are forecast to
become more conducive in a few days. A tropical depression could
form during the early or middle part of next week while the system
moves northwestward to northward across the central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible next week while the system
moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi