Carousel Storms

Monitor

Citizens Highlights

Navigation Menu

Breadcrumb

Asset Publisher

Monitor

Asset Publisher

During the annual Atlantic storm season, which runs June 1-November 30, Citizens monitors the weather forecast 24/7 for potential storms or storm effects. For the most up-to-date information, Citizens relies on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and its National Hurricane Center (NHC) for storm advisories and other storm-related information.

The National Hurricane Center’s tropical storm forecasts are developed by several agencies that work collaboratively to issue timely and informative reports. Citizens also uses a geographic information system (GIS) tool that incorporates data from NHC and helps track and forecast projected storm paths and wind and surge information so Citizens can be ready when a storm strikes Florida.

Know what to do if you need to evacuate. Citizens has partnered with the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network (FPREN) to bring you the latest news about catastrophic weather impacting your area. FPREN updates can be heard on your local public radio station and by downloading their free Florida Storms app from iTunes and Google Play.

Asset Publisher

NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic

NOAA Logo
Storm Tracker

NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic
NHC Atlantic Outlook
Oct 6, 2025 11:43:45 PM

Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located
about 1500 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to become
better organized. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
further development of this system, and a tropical depression or
storm is likely to form in the next day or so while it moves
quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
This system is expected to be near or north of the northern Leeward
Islands on Thursday and Friday, and interests there should continue
to monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Yucatan Peninsula and Southwestern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure currently moving across the Yucatan
Peninsula is expected to emerge into the Bay of Campeche during the
day on Tuesday. The system is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms, and some slow development of this system
is possible over the Bay of Campeche before it moves inland by the
middle portion of this week. Regardless of development, areas of
heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across portions of the Yucatan
Peninsula, Belize, and southern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Forecaster Papin/Blake