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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Shower activity associated with the broad low pressure area over
the Bay of Campeche and the adjacent land areas has become a little
better organized since yesterday. This system will move little
tonight, and little if any development is expected during that time
due to interaction with land. However, the low should begin to
move northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the
western Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday, if
necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue
over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the
next few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions of
the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from
your local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.