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During the annual Atlantic storm season, which runs June 1-November 30, Citizens monitors the weather forecast 24/7 for potential storms or storm effects. For the most up-to-date information, Citizens relies on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and its National Hurricane Center (NHC) for storm advisories and other storm-related information.

The National Hurricane Center’s tropical storm forecasts are developed by several agencies that work collaboratively to issue timely and informative reports. Citizens also uses a geographic information system (GIS) tool that incorporates data from NHC and helps track and forecast projected storm paths and wind and surge information so Citizens can be ready when a storm strikes Florida.

Know what to do if you need to evacuate. Citizens has partnered with the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network (FPREN) to bring you the latest news about catastrophic weather impacting your area. FPREN updates can be heard on your local public radio station and by downloading their free Florida Storms app from iTunes and Google Play.

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NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic

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Storm Tracker

NOAA Graphical Forecast for the Atlantic
NHC Atlantic Outlook
Oct 21, 2025 11:27:25 AM

Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Caribbean Sea (AL98):
Satellite, radar, and surface observations indicate that the area
of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea appears to be
developing a well-defined center, and is already producing winds up
to 45 mph. A tropical storm is expected to form later today while
it slows down over the central Caribbean Sea. Heavy rainfall and
gusty winds are possible over portions of the ABC Islands during the
next day or two. Interests in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and
Cuba should monitor the progress of this system as there is a risk
of heavy rain and flooding, strong winds, and rough surf later this
week. The Air Force Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate
the system later today. For additional information on this system,
including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Cangialosi